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Keeneland Caturday Picks

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If you're reading this, we've made it to Lexington's biggest day of the year. Lets f***ing go.


Keeneland Picks | Saturday, Oct. 9, 2021

Scratches & Changes


Race 1 - 1pm (10 horses entered)

MAIDEN CLAIMING : $30,000 | PURSE: $35,000 | 1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 5 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


6 - Mo Heat

2 - My Favorite Uncle

8 - Gold Bear


Race 2 - 1:32pm (10 horses entered)

MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $84,000 | 6 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 4 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


4 - The Judge And Jury

3 - Combat Medal

5 - Kaely’s Brother

10 - B Sudd


Race 3 - 2:04pm (12 horses entered, 1 AE)

ALLOWANCE | PURSE: $86,000 | 1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up (Turf)

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta (.$10 min)


8 - Scarlet Fusion

3 - Orchestration

1 - Kittansett

12 - No Slo Mo


Race 4 - 2:36pm (7 horses entered)

ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING : $80,000 | PURSE: $86,000 | 1 Mile | Open | 2 Year Olds

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


5 - Rich Strike

1 - Baladi

7 - Tuanis


Race 5 - 3:08pm (10 horses entered)

MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $84,000 | 6 Furlongs | Open | 2 Year Olds

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Pick 6 ($1 min)


3 - Strava

1 - Jack Backed

7 - It’s a Bang Bang

4 - Classic Moment


Race 6 - 3:40pm (7 horses entered)

$200,000 Woodford S. Presented by TVG (G2)

5 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up (Turf)

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-$300k Guaranteed All-Stakes Pick 5 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-$3 Keeneland Turf Pick Three (Races 6-8-10)


2 - Golden Pal

4 - Firecrow

6 - Extravagant Kid


Race 7 - 4:12pm (6 horses entered)

$250,000 Thoroughbred Club of America S. (G2)

6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-$400k Guaranteed All-Stakes Pick 4 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


6 - Bell’s The One

3 - Inthemidstofbiz

4 - Estilo Talentoso


Race 8: 4:44pm (13 horses entered)

$400,000 First Lady S. Presented by UK HealthCare (G1)

1 Mile | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up (Turf)

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 4 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


3 - Althiqa

2 - Empress Josephine

10 - Princess Grace


Race 9: 5:15pm (13 horses entered)

$500,000 Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (G1)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 2 Year Olds

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


13 - Classic Causeway

5 - Don’t Wait Up

3 - Stellar Tap

9 - Great Escape


Race 10 - 5:46pm (13 horses entered)

$750,000 Keeneland Turf Mile S. (G1)

1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up (Turf)

Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)


5 - Tell Your Daddy

10 - Order of Australia

3 - In Love


Race 11 - 6:20pm (11 horses entered)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 2 Year Olds | MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT | PURSE: $84,000

Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Toyota $1 Super High Five


7 - Giant Game

4 - Call Me Midnight

6 - Surfer Dude




Understanding My Picks...


My picks are intended to provide guidance and perspective. If I were that good at picking winners, I would not have a day job; I would be a professional handicapper and probably wouldn’t be sharing my picks here because I’d be too busy raking in the cash.


Best Ways to Bet


If you’re totally new, maybe try a show pool with your friends, or pick one horse each race and bet it “across the board” aka bet a horse to win, place, and show. That’s always my recommendation for beginners, because it’s better to get a little money back, if your horse comes in second or third, than none at all. Hopefully you can hit a couple winners and pay for some drinks.


If you’re a little more advanced, you can always play some exacta boxes and trifecta boxes, maybe using some horses from my picks. Exacta (picking the first two finishers) and trifecta (picking the first three finishers) wagering is typically referred to as “horizontal betting,” because the numbers you pick are for one single race, and therefore are shown in a horizontal line on the betting ticket.


Over the years, I’ve grown more fond of what are referred to as multi-race, “vertical wagers,” where you try and pick just the winner in consecutive races. This could be in two races (double), three (pick-3), four (pick-4), five (pick-5) or six (pick-6), and you can use multiple horses in each race. The more horses you use, the more expensive your bet. Think of it as somewhat of a parlay of consecutive races.


Here’s a good betting guide for those newbies looking to make sense of it all.

And here’s a link to understand how to read a racing program.



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